BORUSSIA DORTMUND VS BAYERN LEVERKUSEN - Tipster predictions

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Friday, March 3, 2017

BORUSSIA DORTMUND VS BAYERN LEVERKUSEN


 PREDICTION

Borussia Dortmund to Win

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

After a  disappointing start of  the season,  Borussia Dortmund have steered themselves comfortably to the top four.Regards to a  strong start of 2017. Dortmund head into this off the back of consecutive 3-0 wins against strugglers Wolfsburg and mid-table Freiburg, which puts them second on league form for 2017 – only league leaders Bayern Munich are above them (by just one point).

Bayer Leverkusen are another side who suffered with inconsistency before the winter break, but things don’t seem to be on the turnaround for Roger Schmidt’s side. Leverkusen lost 2-0 at home to Mainz 05 last weekend, their third defeat in 2017 (W3 L3), and Leverkusen’s search for Champions League qualification doesn’t get any easier with a fixture away to Borussia Dortmund, who are without defeat at Signal-Iduna-Park since April 2015 (W25 D6).

Borussia Dortmund are the favorites to win this match , the “-1.0 Asian Handicap” at 0.92  is the best option because;  Dortmund are unbeaten in 31 consecutive Bundesliga matches at home – the longest run in the club’s history. However, what’s even more impressive is the BVB’s 81% win rate over this streak, which including wins against Bayern Munich, Borussia M’gladbach and RB Leipzig within their last five at Signal-Iduna-Park. Needless to say that Dortmund thrive at home.

Dortmund are the better side on paper and the form of dynamic duo Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang – the Bundesliga’s joint top scorer (19 goals in 20 appearances) – and Marco Reus should prove particularly troublesome. Aubameyang has scored three goals in his last four outings, so we expect him to cause some problems for a Leverkusen side that have kept just one clean sheet on the road all season.

 He’d be  my choice for an anytime scorer bet .

 Leverkusen have the worst defense in the top eight this season , with 32 goals conceded – 8 goals more than 5th place Hertha – which doesn’t bode well against the 2nd best offense in the Bundesliga (46 goals scored). Borrusia  Dortmund have kept two keeping clean sheets in their last two matches. I   feel that Leverkusen have the potential to score a goal given they’ve only failed to score in one of their ten matches away. As such, i feel a 3-1 correct score bet for Borussia Dortmund win .

Bayer Leverkusen won at home   when they met with Dortmund last at home 2-0 . they have met 37 times  at home to Bayer Leverkusen, Dortmund have won 18, drawn 10 and lost 9.

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats

Dortmund have won 70% of their matches at home (W7 D3).  Bayer Leverkusen have lost half  of their matches away so far  (W4 D1 L5). Dortmund averagely score  2.2 goals scored per match at home. Leverkusen have scored at least one goal in the  Bundesliga away matches this season except for one match  (90%).

Borussia Dortmund


Dortmund are doubtful over Sven Bender (center-back), Sokratis (center-back), Sebastian Rode (center mid), and Nuri Sahin (center mid). Attacking-midfielder Mario Gotze (attacking mid) has been ruled out for the foreseeable future due to "metabolic disturbances".

Bayer Leverkusen


Bayer Leverkusen will once again be without star midfielder Hakan Calhanoglu, who has been banned for four months for a breach of contract with Turkish side Trabszonspor. Captain Lars Bender is also doubtful.



BOTH TIPS WON 

FINAL RESULT 6-2